Taiwan

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Taiwan

1davidgn
des. 31, 2020, 12:14am

One more issue simmering away which may shortly need a thread.

I'll start us off with Amb. Chas. Freeman.

https://chasfreeman.net/war-with-china-over-taiwan/
https://youtu.be/-RNvzMbGmEc?t=165

Taiwan is an established American foreign policy success story that appears to be nearing the end of its shelf life. Management of the Taiwan question has long been the key to peace or war – possibly nuclear war – between the United States and China. Now, the door may be closing to peace.

The essence of the Taiwan question is what political relationship should and can the two sides of the Taiwan Strait have with each other? This question is a legacy of the Chinese civil war, the Cold War, the strategically dictated rapprochement between Washington and Beijing, the U.S. habit of substituting military deterrence for diplomacy, and the American attraction to strategy-free, values-based foreign policy. Given the stakes for Americans, the question of how best to balance relations with Taiwan and the China mainland demands informed judgments and adroit statecraft.

But the issue’s history is widely forgotten or misunderstood, and the dilemmas it presents get almost no attention. Americans seem to have achieved herd immunity to both situational awareness and strategic reasoning. The United States risks sleepwalking into a war with China it does not want and cannot now win. Such a war would likely end U.S. primacy in East Asia. It certainly would poison prospects for great power cooperation on planetwide problems....

2margd
des. 31, 2020, 10:01am

Thanks for links, though it may be a while before I get to video...

Our recent ham-handedness with respect to China may cost us in long run, I'm afraid. Not just Hong Kong and Taiwan, but the South Asian Sea, the Arctic, human rights, Euro allies' treaty, Asian neighbours of China, commercial competition (Silk Rd etc.)?

Read somewhere that European/American era is just a hiccup in the historical trajectory of the Chinese civilization.