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The Next Civil War: Dispatches from the American Future

de Stephen Marche

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10210271,341 (3.65)9
History. Politics. Sociology. Nonfiction. HTML:"Should be required reading for anyone interested in preserving our 246-year experiment in self-government." The New York Times Book Review * "Well researched and eloquently presented." The Atlantic * "Delivers Cormac McCarthy-worthy drama; while the nonfictional asides imbue that drama with the authority of documentary." The New York Times Book Review

A celebrated journalist takes a fiercely divided America and imagines five chilling scenarios that lead to its collapse, based on in-depth interviews with experts of all kinds.
The United States is coming to an end. The only question is how.

On a small two-lane bridge in a rural county that loathes the federal government, the US Army uses lethal force to end a standoff with hard-right anti-government patriots. Inside an ordinary diner, a disaffected young man with a handgun takes aim at the American president stepping in for an impromptu photo-op, and a bullet splits the hyper-partisan country into violently opposed mourners and revelers. In New York City, a Category 2 hurricane plunges entire neighborhoods underwater and creates millions of refugees overnighta blow that comes on the heels of a financial crash and years of catastrophic droughtsand tips America over the edge into ruin.

These nightmarish scenarios are just three of the five possibilities most likely to spark devastating chaos in the United States that are brought to life in The Next Civil War, a chilling and deeply researched work of speculative nonfiction. Drawing upon sophisticated predictive models and nearly two hundred interviews with expertscivil war scholars, military leaders, law enforcement officials, secret service agents, agricultural specialists, environmentalists, war historians, and political scientistsjournalist Stephen Marche predicts the terrifying future collapse that so many of us do not want to see unfolding in front of our eyes. Marche has spoken with soldiers and counterinsurgency experts about what it would take to control the population of the United States, and the battle plans for the next civil war have already been drawn up. Not by novelists, but by colonels.

No matter your political leaning, most of us can sense that America is barreling toward catastropheof one kind or another. Relevant and revelatory, The Next Civil War plainly breaks down the looming threats to America and is a must-read for anyone concerned about the future of its people, its land, and its government.
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Es mostren 1-5 de 10 (següent | mostra-les totes)
I was very disappointed by this - basically nothing more than a catalog of current political grievances left and right, with only one scenario fleshing out to anything resembling a civil war (an intractable insurgency) and only one showing a (completely unrealistic) breakup map. It's readable, and not really unbelievable, but the text just doesn't fit the title. Meh. ( )
  dhaxton | Dec 12, 2023 |
In what appears to me to be a comprehensive review of numerous aspects of US life and decisions over the past 30 years the author has determined that collapse of lots of the US is coming, and soon. The primary issue is political collapse because of the rural bias in the Constitution & the alignment of so many people into one of two camps that hate each other (his words), such that there is no ability of people to accommodate the needs & wishes of each other. He is clear that he believes major violence will come soon, not necessarily as civil war - altho maybe that - but frequent violent attacks by individuals aligned with RW & "sovereign citizen" groups ... or by coordinated attacks by one or more of those groups.
The book reviews a lot of historical data about the US but also about the decline and collapse of numerous previous democracies or semi-democracies, and what caused those declines & collapses. The book is compelling although I acknowledge my belief over many years that our society would collapse due to hypocrisy and beliefs supposedly held that conflict with other beliefs. ( )
  RickGeissal | Aug 16, 2023 |
Incredible book. For whatever reason I didn't log this book as read when I was done so I don't remember particular examples but this overall "fictional" version of this story seems spot on to me how it would play out in real life. The way politics are going in this country, it wouldn't be a bad idea to read. ( )
  booksonbooksonbooks | Jul 24, 2023 |
Incredible book. For whatever reason I didn't log this book as read when I was done so I don't remember particular examples but this overall "fictional" version of this story seems spot on to me how it would play out in real life. The way politics are going in this country, it wouldn't be a bad idea to read. ( )
  booksonbooksonbooks | Jul 24, 2023 |
Grim recognition makes this book horrifying. Every rebuttal is deconstructed if not by the turn of the page then certainly by the evening news. If there are winners to this march, it will not be America or the majority of people - on either side - who live here. ( )
  Lemeritus | Apr 3, 2023 |
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At what point then is the approach of danger to be expected? I answer, if it ever reach us, it must spring up amongst us. It cannot come from abroad. If destruction be our lot, we must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of freemen, we must live through all time, or die of suicide. -Abraham Lincoln
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To Elijah and Aviva
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The United States is coming to an end. - Introduction
Until the killing starts, the uprising looks like a party.
Citacions
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If democracy falls, the peace and security of the global order falls. No one will escape the consequences.
Canada is the Horatio to America's Hamlet, a close and sympathetic and mostly irrelevant witness to the grand dramatics on the other side of the border. I am a foreigner who has lived in the United States, who works in the United States, who loves the United States. While I'm pretty much in the dead center on the political spectrum of my own country, I don't want to hide the fact that on policy questions my underlying assumptions would be considered liberal by most Americans.
The people who know what they're talking about come from both sides. They serve larger interests than partisan politics.
Trump is far less meaningful than either side understands. The smartest thing he himself ever said about his political career was in a 2017 press conference: “I didn't come along and divide this country. This country was seriously divided before I got here.” Trump is, at most, a symptom.
if Hillary Clinton had been elected in 2016, all the forces pointing toward the fall of the Republic would be no less powerful than they are right now. Those forces—the hyper-partisanship, the bifurcation of the country into blue and red, the violent loathing for the federal government, the economic unsustainability, the incipient crises in the food supply and urban environmental security, the rise of the hard-right anti-government patriot militias—are the subject of this book.
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(Clica-hi per mostrar-ho. Compte: pot anticipar-te quin és el desenllaç de l'obra.)
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History. Politics. Sociology. Nonfiction. HTML:"Should be required reading for anyone interested in preserving our 246-year experiment in self-government." The New York Times Book Review * "Well researched and eloquently presented." The Atlantic * "Delivers Cormac McCarthy-worthy drama; while the nonfictional asides imbue that drama with the authority of documentary." The New York Times Book Review

A celebrated journalist takes a fiercely divided America and imagines five chilling scenarios that lead to its collapse, based on in-depth interviews with experts of all kinds.
The United States is coming to an end. The only question is how.

On a small two-lane bridge in a rural county that loathes the federal government, the US Army uses lethal force to end a standoff with hard-right anti-government patriots. Inside an ordinary diner, a disaffected young man with a handgun takes aim at the American president stepping in for an impromptu photo-op, and a bullet splits the hyper-partisan country into violently opposed mourners and revelers. In New York City, a Category 2 hurricane plunges entire neighborhoods underwater and creates millions of refugees overnighta blow that comes on the heels of a financial crash and years of catastrophic droughtsand tips America over the edge into ruin.

These nightmarish scenarios are just three of the five possibilities most likely to spark devastating chaos in the United States that are brought to life in The Next Civil War, a chilling and deeply researched work of speculative nonfiction. Drawing upon sophisticated predictive models and nearly two hundred interviews with expertscivil war scholars, military leaders, law enforcement officials, secret service agents, agricultural specialists, environmentalists, war historians, and political scientistsjournalist Stephen Marche predicts the terrifying future collapse that so many of us do not want to see unfolding in front of our eyes. Marche has spoken with soldiers and counterinsurgency experts about what it would take to control the population of the United States, and the battle plans for the next civil war have already been drawn up. Not by novelists, but by colonels.

No matter your political leaning, most of us can sense that America is barreling toward catastropheof one kind or another. Relevant and revelatory, The Next Civil War plainly breaks down the looming threats to America and is a must-read for anyone concerned about the future of its people, its land, and its government.

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